Tuesday, February 17, 2015
How Historic is UVA’s Defense?
Last year UVA led the nation in this category as well, but at 55.7 points per game. The year before the leader was Stephen F. Austin at 51.2. You have to go all the way back to 1992 to find a stingier defense, when Princeton held its opponents to a mere 48 points a game. (That is roughly 325 teams in the country for 22 years, or over 7,100 total seasons before finding a better defense.) In 1992, UVA's coach Tony Bennett was playing in college. Here is the list of the leaders by year:
Tony Bennett fans should recognize a couple of those teams, including his 2009 Washington State team and his father Dick Bennett’s 2001 Wisconsin team.
How about just looking at Virginia’s history? How does this year’s Cavaliers squad compare to the 109 other seasons of UVA basketball history through 23 games? Bennett’s 2012 and 2013 teams were smothering defenses as well, but with a slightly higher average of 53 points per game. Earlier coaches Dave Leitao and Pete Gillen were not known for defense and their teams averaged 72 points a game. You would think the great Ralph Sampson would have contributed to historic defensive teams as well, but they allowed 62 points a game. Even the ‘60s UVA teams allowed an average of 80 points a game. That is 60% more scoring allowed per game even without a shot clock or 3 point line. That could be why the program went 69-176 (.281) that decade. You have to go all the way back to the 1946 season to find a Virginia team giving up less than 50 points a game.
Check out the results from that year:
Talk about an easy schedule. UNC and Duke only once? VMI and W&L twice?
(Interestingly enough a lot of the opponents around that time were military schools due to WWII, so UVA would play against air bases and naval training centers. I can only imagine what losing to “N.C. Pre-Flight School” and “Camp Lee” did to Virginia's RPI in 1943.)
The teams in the 1920s played games with scores only in the 20’s, so this year’s Virginia team is not going to break any all-time records, but they still have a chance to finish as the best Wahoo defense in almost 70 years.
Wednesday, January 21, 2015
UVa Men's Basketball Keeps Rolling On
UVa’s basketball team is having another historic season. The Hoos are undefeated so far at 17-0 and are ranked #2 in the country. They are off to their best start in 34 years and have not been ranked this high since 1983. In fact, since January 18th of last year, Virginia has gone 35-2, best in the nation.
The Cavaliers have achieved this record due to their dominant defense, which is #1 in the country in points allowed per game and #2 in field goal percentage. Meanwhile, the offense has been efficient as well, ranked #24 in FG% and #4 in KenPom offense efficiency ratings.
Last season, UVa won the ACC regular season and tournament titles for the first time ever, and will have a tough time repeating this year. Next week the Wahoos start a three game stretch against #5 Duke, at #15 North Carolina, and #10 Louisville.
In fact, the Duke game is such a big match-up that ESPN’s traveling pregame show, “College Gameday,” will be in Charlottesville for the first time ever for that game.
Meanwhile, Kentucky is the other undefeated team in the country, and is ranked #1, garnering lots of media attention. The Wildcats are a team made up of mostly All-American freshman looking to go to the NBA after their one year, while UVa is comprised of mostly upperclassmen with more aspirations towards graduation than the pros. It would make for an interesting title game if these two top teams make it that far.
Let’s Go Hoos!
Monday, November 17, 2014
Cleveland Cavaliers Already Swooning Over Joe Harris
When my favorite NBA team, the Cleveland Cavaliers, drafted former Virginia Cavalier Joe Harris in June, I was ecstatic. Not only was I excited that the star of the UVa team that won an ACC title for the first time in 30 years was being drafted into the NBA, but he was going to Cleveland as well. After the Cavaliers added Lebron James, Kevin Love, Mike Miller, Shawn Marion, and James Jones, Cleveland became a title contender and I figured Joe Harris would relegated to the D League or only get playing time during blowouts. Last year only half of the second round picks even played in the NBA and only one of them had more than 40 minutes of total playing time and 15 points at this point of the season.
Luckily Joe Harris made the opening day roster, and even got some last minute playing time in three of Cleveland’s first five games. Then starting shooting guard Dion Waiters injured his back in the fifth game, allowing Harris to get extended minutes against New Orleans last week. The 23 year old rookie has not looked back since.
In the past three games, Harris has played an average of 20 minutes a game, hit 6 three pointers and has led the All-Star stacked team with a +/- of +65. In a close game against the Celtics, the second round pick played in the closing minutes including hitting a 3-pointer with 3 minutes to go. Against Atlanta over the weekend, Harris entered in the first quarter and drained two 3-pointers igniting the rout of the Hawks. Only two players chosen #25 or later in this year's draft have more minutes or points than Harris.
Here is some of the praise from the Cavaliers' coach David Blatt so far:
"He's a very, very positive worker, nose to the grindstone, doesn't say a whole lot, listens to the veteran guys, fits in with what we're doing and he plays as hard as he possibly can regardless of the situation. That's what you want. Joe brought energy; he brought commitment to both ends. Our scouting department did a heckuva job getting Joe with that pick"
Even the best player in the world is on the Joe Harris bandwagon:
"He was huge," Lebron James said. "Joe Harris is going to be a big piece for our team.”
Now there are reports that the former Virginia Cavalier star could be in the Cleveland Cavalier’s starting lineup soon.
“With the way he is progressing and as well as he is playing, Joe Harris will be the starting shooting guard sooner rather than later. Much sooner. As in within a couple of weeks (or less), one source with knowledge of the team’s thinking said. At least one member of the Cavs’ brain trust is already in favor of the switch.”
It has been quite the rise for a player who only people in Charlottesville were swooning about last year. I already have my jersey:
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
NCAA March Madness Time!
First let’s take look at the trends from the past 28 seasons by round.
First round:
- #12 seeds upset the #5 seeds 36% of the time (last year it was 75% with #12 seeds Mississippi, California, and Oregon pulling off the upsets)
- 21% of #4 seeds go down (#4 Kansas State went home early last year)
- Meanwhile only 14% of #3 seeds lose their first game (last year #3 New Mexico was upset though)
Second round:
- Only 12% of #1 seeds were upset (#1 Gonzaga was upset by eventual Final Four team Wichita St, who happen to be undefeated this year)
- Meanwhile 36% of #2 seeds have been upset by the #7/#10 winner (#2 Georgetown was upset by the #15 last year, not even getting to the #7/#10)
- Only 12% of the time has a region gone #1, #2, #3, #4 (which actually did happen once last year)
Sweet 16:
- 70% of #1 seeds make the elite eight (was 25% last year with only champion Louisville advancing)
- On the other side of the region, 72% are either #2 or #3 seeds (100% last year)
Elite Eight:
- Only one time in 33 years of the 64 team bracket has all four #1 seeds made the Final Four (which was no exception last year)
- 41% of #1 seeds make the Final Four (only one #1 seed made it last year)
- #2 seeds make it 21% of the time (no #2 seeds made it last year)
If you add up all the seeds that make the final four, the average total is 10. Meaning if you pick all #1 seeds, that’s less than half the average, or if you throw in a #11 George Mason with a #3, #2, and #1, that’s double the average. (Last year’s total of 18 (#1, #4, #4, #9) was way above average.)
If those are the yearly trends, then who did the experts pick this year? Here is a breakdown of 22 “expert” brackets.
Championship:
- 32% of the experts chose #1 seed Florida to win the entire thing (compared to 75% for eventual champ Louisville last year)
- UVa was the only #1 seed not picked of the six different teams
- 27% picked #4 Michigan State with 8 losses while only 9% picked undefeated #1 Wichita State
Runner Up:
- 7 different teams were chosen to lose the title game
- 31% #4 Louisville was the highest
- 22% have Florida over Louisville
Final Four:
- 86% picked #4 Michigan State to reach the Final Four, while only 1 expert picked UVa
- Only 27% picked #1 Wichita State, while 55% picked #4 Louisville, out of the Midwest Region
- #1 Florida 68%, #2 Kansas 32% in what looks an entertaining South regional Final
- Sorry Wildcats fans, Villanova was the only #2 seed not picked
- No teams outside of the top #4 seeds were picked, how boring
Elite Eight:
- 100% of brackets picked Florida in the Elite Eight
- 90% have #4 MSU facing #3 Iowa State, which is absurd considering only 16% of #4 seeds and 26% of #3 seeds even make the Elite Eight
- #4 Louisville and #1 Wichita State are split 60/40
- Only 9% picked UVa, the lowest #1 seed, and 0% for #2 seed Villanova
Sweet Sixteen:
- 23% have Kentucky beating #1 Wichita State, but only one bracket had #4 MSU or #3 Iowa State losing
- All 20 experts picked #4 Louisville to make the Sweet 16, stunning considering half the #4 seeds do not make it there
- #2 Kansas 55% vs. #7 New Mexico 45% looks like a great game
- Same with #2 Villanova 55% vs. #7 UConn 40%
Conclusions
- Since 30% of #1 seeds do not make the Elite 8, UVa or Wichita St. are the choices to falter.
- Since 54% of #2 seeds do not make the Elite 8 either, Villanova and Kansas have the toughest opponents.
- Only 52% of #3 seeds make it out of the first two rounds, so experts pick against Creighton as a #3 seed to continue this trend.
- Since only one time out of 34 has a Final Four been all #1 seeds, experts think UVa and Wichita St. look the most vulnerable.
After looking at the trends and expert picks I am even more inclined to pick UVa to win it all. If the entire pool picks MSU, Louisville, etc, I gain an advantage by picking UVa if they win, while not gaining anything by picking against Virginia. The consensus of the expert picks is staggering though. Using the Ken Pomeroy rankings (the en vogue college basketball sabermetrics rankings), UVa is the #4th best team in the country while MSU is #10. Granted Michigan State is now fully healthy and coming off a BIG 10 tournament title and they may be underseeded as a #4. However, they have gone 8-7 in their past 15 games, while UVa has only one loss in a meaningful game since New Year’s. Historic trends have #1 seeds advancing 70% of the time in this matchup, while only 16% of #4 seeds, but the 22 experts picked 9% #1 seed/91% #4 seed.
Meanwhile on the other side of the region, which team do you think got 95% of the picks to make the elite eight? The #7 ranked team or the #22, #25, or #26 ranked teams? Iowa State, the #22 ranked team, was predicted to win in 21 of the 22 brackets, while #7 Villanova got zero.
Either the experts or on to something that I do not know about, or maybe I found out a key to who I am picking this week. That’s why they play the games.
Thursday, February 27, 2014
UVa’s Men’s Basketball’s Historic Season Reaches New Heights This Weekend Against Syracuse
Last night, #12 UVa’s men’s basketball team cruised to their 12th straight victory and 15th in the last 16 games. The Cavaliers now have a 15-1 ACC record and are in first place by 1.5 games over #4 Syracuse, which comes into Charlottesville on Saturday. The Wahoo’s can extend their magical season by claiming their 2nd outright ACC title ever with a win. Here are some stats on how historic this season has been for Virginia:
- The last time they won an ACC title outright was in 1981, over 30 years ago
- It’s the first time the program has won 12 straight ACC games since 1981-82
- UVa also improved to 19 games above .500 for the first time since 1982-83
- They won a program-record 11th ACC game by double figures.
- The Hoos have won 17 straight home ACC games, a new school record
- They have led by 19 or more in 12 of 16 ACC games
How has a team that did not make the NCAA tournament last year and was not ranked until three weeks ago able to run rampant over the toughest conference in the country? It all starts with the defense:
- The Cavaliers have the #1 defense in the country in points per game and #8 in defensive FG%
- They have held 16 straight teams below their season average for points
- The offense is balanced as well, since seven different players have led the team in scoring
The game will be nationally televised on ESPN with Dickie V doing the commentary. It has been sold out for months with the cheapest nosebleed ticket currently going for $268 on Stubhub. ESPN already has video breaking down the match-up: http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=10518180
The basketball game is not the only sports action in Charlottesville on Saturday though. After the game, across the street, the #4 men’s lacrosse team hosts the #6 team in the country. What rival successful lacrosse team warrants the night time matchup? You guessed it, Syracuse. Earlier in the day, UVa’s top #5 ranked baseball, tennis, and women's lacrosse teams are in action as well. Hopefully the Hoo’s can pull out the upset to continue their historic season and confirm my prophetic tweet from last March:
Tuesday, May 21, 2013
UVa Men’s Tennis Won the NCAA Title
- During the season, they won their 100th consecutive ACC match.
- Their combined match record was 160-22.
- This is only the third match of the season that the opponent even got three match wins
- This was their third straight title game appearance, falling to USC the previous two times
- In the past eight seasons, UVa has a combined team record of 256-13 for a .952 winning percentage.
- This gives Virginia it’s 20th national title overall, fourth most in the ACC.
Friday, March 1, 2013
HellUVa Week for Virginia Sports
Last night UVa earned a marquee win over #3 Duke 73-68 on national TV essentially clinching a spot in the big dance. Here are some of the key stats:
- The last time the Cavaliers beat a top 5 team was exactly 11 years ago, against #3 Duke.
- Duke never had the lead.
- The Blue Devils only had one offensive rebound after averaging 10 for the season.
- Joe Harris had a career high 36 points, the most for any player against Duke since 2006, and the most in the ACC this season.
- Harris is now 2nd in the ACC in scoring, 3rd in FG%, 3rd in 3PT FG%, and 4th in FT%, and is in consideration for ACC Player of the Year and has his own Twitter feed pushing for it https://twitter.com/JoeHarrisACCPOY
- This picture is in consideration for picture of the year as well.
- Akil Mitchell also had a great game with 19 points (2nd highest this year) and 12 rebounds (2nd highest as well).
- UVA is now 10-5 in the ACC, with 4 top 50 RPI wins, greatly improving their NCAA tournament selection chances.
Friday, February 10, 2012
Virginia Spring Sports on “ESPNU”VA

Now that the Super Bowl is over, my attention is now with UVA basketball and spring sports. While the #19 men’s basketball team is in the middle of the ACC schedule, Virginia’s spring sports are about to begin as well. The preseason #1 lacrosse team will begin their title defense against #20 Drexel 2/18 while #23 baseball hopes to return to the College World Series beginning on 2/17. Meanwhile the #2 tennis team started play last week, but takes a hiatus for the indoor championships before resuming on 2/26. Don’t worry about checking your local TV listings, because the lacrosse and baseball teams will be nationally televised on ESPN’s family of networks 15 times in the regular season with 10-20 more times possible in the postseason. Here is a quick glance of the TV schedule:
Lacrosse:
2/25-Stony Brook-ESPN3
3/4-Syracuse-ESPN
3/10-Cornell-ESPNU
3/24-Johns Hopkins-ESPNU
3/31-Maryland-ESPNU
4/7-UNC-ESPN
4/13-Duke-ESPNU
4/20-22-ACC Tourny-ESPNU
4/27-Penn-ESPN3
5/12-NCAA First Rd-ESPNU
Baseball:
3/17-FSU-ESPNU
3/18-FSU-ESPN3
3/19-FSU-ESPNU
4/9-Wake Forest-ESPNU
4/28-Miami-ESPN3
4/30-Miami-ESPNU
5/12-GT-ESPN3
Virginia is going to be on ESPNU 10 times between 3/10 and 4/30? Might as well start calling the network ESPNUVA.
Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Hoo’s Battling Duke for 1st Place?

Don’t look now, but UVa men’s basketball team is 14-1 and ranked #16 in the country. The Cavaliers are the only one loss team left in in the ACC, putting them in first place as conference play starts up. This is the highest the team has been ranked since 2000, when they were #8 in the country. In the latest Bracketology forecast, ESPN predicts Virginia will be a 5 seed in the tournament which would be the team’s best seeding since they last made the tournament as a 4 seed in 2007.
UVa is led by fifth year senior Mike Scott, who is the leading scorer and has had five double doubles so far. He has already earned three ACC player of the week awards this season, only the fifth Cavalier to do so. The team also relies on one of the best defenses in the country, which is 2nd out of 338 in scoring at 50.5 points a game, and 20th in opponents’ field goal %. The fans at John Paul Jones Arena have embraced the defensive mindset by ramping up the decimal level whenever the opponents’ shot clock goes below 10 seconds.
However, the team’s biggest test to date is Thursday as they travel to Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on #6 Duke. ESPN has this matchup as the upset pick of the week. Unfortunately, the Wahoos have not beaten the Blue Devils since 2007 and have not won on Coach K court since 1995, when the members of the Hoo’s roster were still learning how to walk let alone dribble a basketball. Yikes!

Tuesday, January 10, 2012
Chick-Fil-A Bowl Adventures
When we arrived in Atlanta, we were surprised to see plenty of fellow Cavs fans, but due to the proximity to Auburn, the Tiger fans showed up closer to gametime. Strangely enough, Auburn’s first football coach was a UVa alum and used our colors for their squad 100 years ago, hence tons of orange and blue in the streets of Atlanta. The highlight of the activities before the game was the parade, during 60 degree Georgia weather, and predictably tons of cows:
The game started off great with our marching band and early touchdowns and leads:
Unfortunately Auburn’s speed and our special teams errors took over the game leading to a 19 point loss. You are not going to win many games with two blocked punts, giving up an onside kick, a failed fake fg, and a 60 yard return. Despite the disappointment, I am optimistic about the young over achieving team and look forward to next year after sophomore QB Rocco’s improved play in the 2nd half of the season.
Tuesday, October 18, 2011
UVA Finishes a Perfect Day with an Upset
For the first time in several seasons I did not purchase UVA season tickets, but chose to come to just a handful of key games. Undefeated #12 Georgia Tech and a sunny fall day seemed like the perfect time for a tailgate as well. While the Yellow Jackets came in touting an option offense that ran all over the Hoos in previous seasons, Virginia had the bye week to prepare for the gimmick. After jumping out to a 14-0 lead, the Cavaliers let the Rambling Wreck back in the game with a missed field goal and pick six. Then Coach London figured out what VT Coach Beamer had enjoyed for years, beating up on an Al Groh coached defense. The Hoos gave the Yellow Jackets and their former coach a taste of their own medicine by running for their highest total in seven seasons, while holding them to their lowest offensive output in 20 games. UVA was even able to run out the last six minutes of the game as students ran out onto the field:
Now that Virginia is 4-2, they are only two wins away from bowl eligibility and luckily have home games coming up against NC State and Duke. Heck, they even received three votes in the AP poll on Sunday, capping a great weekend.
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
Three Defensive Plays Determine the Outcome for Browns, Redskins, and Cavs Games This Week
After redeeming themselves last week by defeating William and Mary in the season opener, Virginia travelled to Indiana to take on the Hoosiers. After going up 23-3 in the third quarter, the Cavaliers gave up 28 unanswered points to a program that has only been to one bowl game in 18 seasons. The Hoos answered with a 15 play drive to tie the game at 31-31 with under two minutes left. After a couple of ineffective plays, IU lined up for a third down and five on their own 23 with only a half a minute until overtime: (skip to the :36 mark):
Senior defensive end Cam Johnson comes around the end and not only sacks the QB, but strips the football and recovers the fumble with one hand…all before hitting the ground! A couple plays later, Robert Randolph hits a 23 yard FG with seconds left. Victory!
"In the past, we probably would have given up or tucked and said, 'Oh, what the heck.' But these guys just kept on playing,” Coach Mike London said. “And in the end we just made more plays than they made, and the play that Cam Johnson made was unbelievable."
Meanwhile on Sunday, the Browns opened their season at home against a similarly underdog opponent in the Cincinnati Bengals. Up 17-13 in the fourth quarter, Cleveland had already knocked out the Bengals starting QB and were a couple stops or turnover away from sealing the victory. With under five minutes left, Cincinnati put together a drive to move into Browns’ territory but were facing a third down and eleven (right click on picture to open play in new window):
Backup QB Bruce Gradkowski quick snaps the ball and finds rookie WR AJ Green wide open for his first NFL reception for a 41 yard score. Not only was the defense caught off guard, but they had 12 men on the field as well! Stunned by the sudden deficit, the Cleveland offense responded with 25 yards, seven incompletions and an interception on their final three drives combined as the Bengals offense later sealed the win with a 39 yard touchdown run.
“They caught the whole organization asleep on that one,” linebacker Scott Fujita said Monday. “We were all responsible,” coach Pat Shurmur said. “Which includes me.”
Later in the afternoon, the Redskins faced bitter rival New York Giants, which had won the previous six meetings. In a back and forth matchup, the teams came out of the locker room at half time tied 14-14 and the Giants started with the ball. New York quickly faced a third down and ten from the shadow of their own goal line minutes into the second half:
Rookie defensive end Ryan Kerrigan avoids the chop block by the right tackle and picks off Eli Manning’s quick screen attempt and rumbles into the end zone breaking the tie. While there was still almost a full half remaining in the game, the defensive touchdown set the tone for the rest of the game. Washington’s defense caused four sacks and three 3-and-outs, while only allowing four New York first downs and 93 yards for the rest of the half, clinching a 28-14 victory.
“He has great awareness for a big guy,” linebacker Brian Orakpo said of Kerrigan. “He made a great play, got to score a touchdown, and that’s all she wrote.”
Three separate third down defensive plays determined the outcome of my three favorite teams this weekend. While I hope Cam Johnson and Ryan Kerrigan’s performances are a glimpse of more things to come this season, first year Browns head coach Pat Shurmur better learn fast before the schedule gets tougher later in the season.
Quotes and Further Reading:
Cam Johnson Saves the Day for Virginia
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Spring Sports Recap

This year’s #1 spring sports teams fared much better than last year’s edition. Last year, five of my favorite teams were ranked #1 going into the postseason and all of them choked. Luckily this year, of the four teams that made the playoffs, only one went out early. Coincidentally, the team that came in with the least expectations was the one that won a title.
The Capitals came into the playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league and earned the top seed in the East, only to get swept in the second round to the Lightning. Despite their consecutive early exits the past two seasons, the team seems stuck in the same direction by resigning Brooks Laich to a big deal and retaining Coach Boudreau.
Over the weekend, UVA’s #1 ranked baseball team lost in extra innings to eventual back-to-back champion South Carolina after committing back to back errors, having their star pitcher go out sick, and going 0-14 with runners in scoring position. Despite the excruciating way they were eliminated, the Cavaliers had their best season ever, lasting until the final four teams.
Similarly, the UVA tennis team made the final for the first time in the programs history, but also fell short to the eventual back-to-back champion USC (California, not Carolina this time). Despite being a couple points away from pulling off the come-from behind victory, there is no reason they cannot contend for a title again next year considering they are 68-0 against opponents not named the Trojans.
Oddly enough, my spring sports team that ended up going all the way was the one with the lowest expectations; the #7 ranked lacrosse team. Luckily, there’s a chance they can bring home another trophy next season considering most of the starters will be back next year.
Even though the Cleveland Cavs and Wizards did not even make the playoffs, they got great reviews in the draft, so there is hope all around.
Tuesday, June 14, 2011
Virginia Cavaliers are Omaha Bound!
UVa’s baseball team is headed to the College World Series for the second time in the program’s history after a thrilling three game series against UC-Irvine. The past weekend, the Cavaliers hosted the Anteaters in the super regional round of the NCAA tournament in surprisingly stormy Charlottesville. In the first game, #2 overall MLB draft pick Danny Hultzen and Cody Winiarski combined to pitch a four hit shutout in the Hoo’s 6-0 victory despite a two hour rain delay.
On Sunday, the Wahoo’s jumped to a 3-0 lead in the second game before monsoon season came delaying the game for four hours. Once play resumed, UC Irvine gained momentum and rallied to tie the game in seventh and took the lead for good in the eighth, forcing an additional game.
In the third and decisive game, the Anteaters and Cavs were locked in a 1-1 pitchers duel going into the ninth inning. In the top of the inning, UVA made an uncharacteristic error on a bunt attempt putting men on first and third with no outs. The next Anteater batter drove in the leading run on a double play. Then in the bottom of the inning, Virginia’s first two batters were quickly retired. Trailing by one run, in front of five thousand fans at home, the nation’s #1 team was on the ropes. Then after falling 1-2, one strike away from elimination, David Coleman singled to center, Jared King got an infield single, and Reed Gragnani walked on four pitches to load the bases. After taking strike one, Chris Taylor makes Sportcenter’s #5 play of the day:
After one strike away from having nothing to write about, now my only concern is which sweet tee shirt I could get?