The Browns have the fourth overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft and since the first three picks are practically already signed, all eyes are on Cleveland. This is the fourth draft in a row the Browns are picking in the top seven, and tenth time this high in the 14 drafts since their return. What have they done with all these high picks? Only one All-Pro and 13 busts. Outside of Joe Thomas, only three drafted Browns have made one Pro Bowl and just once each. That is three combined pro bowl seasons from 106 of 107 draft selections.
With this
history of futility, who are the Browns going to erroneously pick this year?
This website compiles all
the mock drafts performed across the internet and of the 212 most recent ones,
76% choose Trent Richardson, 10% Justin Blackmon, and 8% for Ryan Tannehill. Here
are the breakdowns for each choice:
Trent Richardson,
RB, Alabama:
Pros: The
Crimson Tide runner is a bruising back that has pass catching and protection
skills as well. He is considered the most complete back since Adrian Peterson
five years ago. Richardson will energize an offense that faces three AFC North
teams which each made the playoffs with top 7 defenses specializing on stopping
the run.
Cons: Running backs have a very short shelf life
and with the increasing use of committee backfields, #4 overall is high for a
back. You can easily get a good running back later in the draft, since the difference
between the fifth best back and 25th best is not as great as other
positions drafted this high.
Justin Blackmon,
WR, Oklahoma State:
Pros: The two-time
Biletnikoff Award winner would be a much needed explosive target for Colt McCoy.
The Browns lead the league in drops last year and pairing him with Greg Little
would open up the offense.
Cons:
Considering all the holes on the Browns roster, drafting a player who only
touches the ball a half dozen times a game at fourth overall will not be a
great value.
Ryan
Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M:
Pros: The
Aggie quarterback shot up the draft board after his pro day and could be the
franchise passer the Browns need to compete with Flacco, Dalton, and Big Ben.
Cons: The
pick would be a desperate move for a franchise grasping for a QB after Luck and
Griffin are taken. Tannehill has only played 19 games at quarterback after
playing WR for the Aggies.
Trade down:
Pros: The
Browns need players, not a player. They
lost their top running back and right tackle to free agency and lack a franchise
QB and #1 caliber WR on the 29th ranked offense. Their OLB will be
suspended for bounty hunting and need improvement at DE, FS, and #2 CB. They can
pass on Blackmon and get WR Floyd at #15, avoid Richardson and get RB Martin at
#37, or ignore project Tannehill and get QB Weeden at #44. They could even trade down to bolster the
right side of the line with G David DeCastro.
Cons: Cleveland
already has 13 picks this year and what is the point of drafting multiple later
busts instead of one at #4. They will not be able to fix everything this year,
and can pair Blackmon or Richardson with QB Matt Barkley in next year’s draft.
I believe
that the Browns should trade down since they need all the help they can get and
only RG3 and Luck are difference makers in this draft.
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